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mlb - Fri 07/31 | 11:05 PM UTC | Yankee Stadium |

Boston @ N.Y. Yankees

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ML
NYY -177
-219
Over / Under
10.5
11
ATS
NYY -1.5
-1.5

Matchup breakdown

Boston
NYY
PROJ SCORE
23-36
W-L
37-29
-869
ML
-655
30-26
O/U
34-28
-1.14
RUN DIFF
0.89
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Past Expert Picks

Adam Goodwyn

The Moneyline Guy
Fri 7/31

Boston @ N.Y. Yankees | 07/31 | 11:05 PM UTC

Boston +165

LOSS

The Red Sox have had an up and down season so far, but my model likes them Friday. My model has the Red Sox winning this game 43.03 percent of the time. With a payout around +165, the price translates to a projected win percentage of 38. My model sees a roughly 5 percent edge. Take the Red Sox on the value play, as they try to make it three in a row in New York.

Boston

player
SPRyanWeber
22.6fan duel$5,500
11.12draft kings$5,400
-1.59cbs sportsown% 9
player
CFKevinPillar
16.33fan duel$3,000
12.3draft kings$3,600
4.77cbs sportsown% 78
player
OFJ.D.Martinez
15.87fan duel$4,000
11.97draft kings$5,200
4.55cbs sportsown% 99
PITCHINGINNWKHAERBBI
R. WeberRyan Weber5.10.254.34.93.001.9
RelieversRelievers3.90.184.53.72.002.0
HITTINGHRRBITBBBSB
K. PillarKevin Pillar1.530.841.022.920.200.10
J. MartinezJ.D. Martinez1.430.751.002.850.390.03
R. DeversRafael Devers1.140.750.541.950.240.04
X. BogaertsXander Bogaerts1.170.620.712.010.420.03
C. VazquezChristian Vazquez1.180.660.712.330.300.02
A. VerdugoAlex Verdugo1.340.660.512.140.350.09
M. ChavisMichael Chavis1.060.530.611.820.290.02
J. BradleyJackie Bradley1.070.610.521.830.230.09
J. PerazaJose Peraza1.280.600.501.890.140.13

KEY PLAYER INJURIES

D. Pedroia, E. Rodriguez, D. Hernandez, C. Sale, M. Moreland, J. Taylor

NOT PROJECTED TO START:

Kevin Plawecki, Andrew Benintendi, Tzu-Wei Lin, Jonathan Arauz
Batting order and lineup confirmed and provided by Rotowire.

N.Y. Yankees

player
SPJordanMontgomery
21.52fan duel$6,800
9.98draft kings$7,800
-1.29cbs sportsown% 60
player
RFAaronJudge
13.19fan duel$4,200
9.8draft kings$4,600
3.52cbs sportsown% 96
player
OFGiancarloStanton
12.92fan duel$3,900
9.59draft kings$5,700
3.53cbs sportsown% 96
PITCHINGINNWKHAERBBI
J. MontgomeryJordan Montgomery4.40.314.25.82.601.6
RelieversRelievers4.00.274.94.82.301.4
HITTINGHRRBITBBBSB
D. LeMahieuDJ LeMahieu1.260.780.732.080.340.03
A. JudgeAaron Judge1.040.820.622.020.590.05
G. TorresGleyber Torres1.010.700.651.940.380.06
G. StantonGiancarlo Stanton1.020.680.752.100.530.02
A. HicksAaron Hicks0.790.680.651.680.660.05
L. VoitLuke Voit0.940.650.641.820.540.01
G. UrshelaGiovanny Urshela0.910.560.491.470.310.01
B. GardnerBrett Gardner0.810.600.421.560.390.08
K. HigashiokaKyle Higashioka0.780.490.531.450.310.01

KEY PLAYER INJURIES

T. Kahnle, D. Otero, A. Chapman, D. German, M. Tanaka, L. Severino, Luis Cessa

NOT PROJECTED TO START:

Chris Iannetta, Gary Sanchez, Miguel Andujar, Tyler Wade, Mike Tauchman, Mike Ford, Thairo Estrada
Batting order and lineup confirmed and provided by Rotowire.

last updated: 07/31/2020 22:53 GMT