It's going to be a warm evening in D.C., with wins blowing out toward left-center. Cincinnati's Anthony DeSclafani has been mostly league average this season, but he gives up a lot of hard contact, and his HR/9 has been 29 percent above league average. So I predict he'll give up a dinger or two. Washington's Erick Fedde doesn't give up a lot of groundballs, but he doesn't strike anybody out, either. His strikeout rate is a full 49% below league average, which is why his xFIP of 5.33 is nearly an entire run higher than his 4.38 ERA. Expect runs to be scored here.

Erik Fedde is 2-2 with a 4.20 ERA this season and he is coming off the best start of his career throwing six shutout innings with no walks. Anthony Desclafani is 7-6 with a 4.20 ERA this season and 2-3 with a 4.72 ERA on the road. He is coming off a couple poor outings struggling with the long ball. However, the Reds are a different team on the road at 23-32 while the Nats are 31-25 at home and needing some wins on a lengthy homestand. I like the Nats at home.

The Nationals finally got a victory over the Mets to conclude their weekend series Sunday. On Monday, they return home after a lengthy nine-game road trip that featured stops against Arizona and San Francisco. On the mound for the Nationals will be erratic pitcher Eric Fedde. One positive is that one of his two wins this year came against the Reds. Look for potent bats to key the Nationals to victory.

Grab the value with the Reds as they do battle with Washington's Erick Fedde. The Nats have lost 10 of his last 13 starts at Nationals Park. He has been terrible at home, with a 6.85 ERA and 1.97 WHIP. The Reds come in having won five of seven despite Sunday's loss to the Cubs. Based on their run differential of +39, the Reds should be a few games over .500 instead of 56-60. Play on Cincinnati.