The Reds' Sonny Gray is 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA this season, but he has never pitched at Coors Field. The Rockies' Jon Gray is 9-6 with a 3.92 ERA this season, and he is 4-1 with a 3.35 ERA at home. The Rockies are 24-19 at home while the Reds are 17-25 on the road. The Rockies are 18-9 as the home favorite while the Reds are 14-23 as the road underdog.

Jon Gray is 4-1 with a 3.35 ERA at Coors Field, and the Rockies have won his last four home starts. Colorado went into the break on a six-game skid but should be refreshed and ready to handle the Reds, who are 17-25 on the road. Lay it.

My data projects just nine runs crossing the plate Friday between the Reds and Rockies, providing a massive value position on the Under against a total of 12. Cincinnati has played Under in eight of its last nine series openers and is 5-2 to the Under in road starts by Sonny Gray. Colorado has played Under in four straight and the Under also is on a 7-0 overall run in this matchup.