Mike Soroka has been sensational in his first two starts this season, allowing one run in each, winning at Cincinnati and losing at home to Arizona. But the Braves overall form has been poor lately, losing eight of their last 12. Padres starter Nick Margevicius has allowed only 10 runs in five starts and the Padres won both his road outings. The Padres had their five-game win streak snapped Sunday. Padres start a new win streak tonight.

Mike Soroka has been great so far in his rookie season, with two runs allowed in 10.2 innings. The Padres had a six-game win streak snapped on Sunday, but the offense has overperformed according to my computer model. The Braves are the better team Monday, winning nearly two-thirds of my simulations.