Reds starter Luis Castillo has finally arrived with results. Last year, professional bettors jumped on Castillo every game, knowing this kid has great stuff. He showed a profit, but it was not because of him putting up great numbers. The Reds were 16-15 in his starts, winning 2.4 units. This year, Castillo has allowed fewer hits than innings pitched and had more strikeouts than innings in all five of his starts. Take the Reds with this value price Thursday.

Both the Reds and Braves squandered opportunities and left runners on base in Wednesday’s game. It’ll be a tough matchup for Reds pitcher Luis Castillo as the Braves have been on fire at the plate in their last five games. Yet, expect Castillo to continue his upstart season and for Julio Teheran to improve from his 5.61 ERA. Grab the Under.

My data sees the Braves beating the Reds in nearly 60 percent of simulations for their Thursday meeting, offering a massive overlay on the slight road underdog. Atlanta is 6-1 in the last seven starts by Julio Teheran against opponents with losing records and 4-1 when he starts the third game of the series. Let's scalp some major value with Atlanta.