Grab the value on the Over with two aces on the mound in Corey Kluber and Luis Severino.

This is a principle play more than anything else. The Indians are at home with Corey Kluber on the mound, and they're an underdog. The Indians are 28-14 at home in Kluber starts over the last three seasons.

My numbers see the Indians and Yankees producing at least nine runs Thursday, enough to blow past a total of 7.5 with room to spare. New York has gone 9-0 to the Over in road starts by Luis Severino against AL Central opponents, while Cleveland is 7-7-1 to the Over in the past nine home starts by Corey Kluber.