Sign me up for some runs in Detroit on Thursday night. It's hot, humid, the wind is blowing out, and neither Yovani Gallardo or Matthew Boyd have been at their best as of late.

Tigers starter Matt Boyd has been much better at home this season (2.61 ERA compared to 5.55 on the road). Detroit has won his last six starts at Comerica Park. Lay the small price.

Lay -200 with the Rangers on the run line Thursday, as they're covering 78 percent of my simulations. Texas has won Yovani Gallardo's last six road starts, plus the Rangers are 8-1 in their last nine at Detroit. Take Texas plus 1.5 runs.