Huge pitching edge here for the Mets, and this is a reasonable price. Look for Clayton Richard to fall to 1-6 in his last seven starts vs. New York.

My data suggests the Padres will beat the Mets about 55 percent of the time in their Friday showdown, offering a massive bargain on the home underdog. The Padres are 5-1 in home starts by Clayton Richard against winning teams, while the Mets will come in on short rest in a potential letdown spot after their series with rival St. Louis.