UFC Fight Night odds, picks: Combat analyst reveals best bets for du Plessis vs. Usman and other fights for July 18 card
SportsLine combat expert Josh Nagel has released his top selections for Saturday's event in Oklahoma City
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Former middleweight champion Dricus du Plessis takes on former welterweight king Kamaru Usman in the main event of UFC Fight Night on Saturday. The main card is set for 8 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and will be streamed live on Paramount+.
Du Plessis is a -225 betting favorite (risk $225 to win $100), while Usman is priced at +185 (risk $100 to win $185) in the latest MMA odds for UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman. The Over/Under for total rounds completed is 3.5.
Before locking in your UFC Fight Night picks, you NEED to see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine combat analyst Josh Nagel.
Nagel, who is the combat sports editor for SportsLine, is an experienced and successful boxing and MMA analyst. He currently serves as SportsLine's lead boxing analyst and has returned as one of its primary UFC analysts as well.
His notable 2026 winners include backing Sean Strickland (+220) to defeat Anthony Hernandez (-300) in their February middleweight showdown, and he also accurately predicted Strickland to win by knockout (+700). He also correctly called Charles Oliveira (+150) to upset Max Holloway (-180) for the mythical BMF belt in March. Just last week for UFC 329, Nagel correctly called Brandon Royval (+185) over Loen'er Kavanagh (-215), Robert Whittaker (-140) over Nikita Krylov and Max Holloway (-125) by KO/TKO over Conor McGregor in the main event as part of a 4-1 mark on his official plays.
Other notable 2026 UFC winners include his top-rated selection on Mario Bautista (-130) over Vinicius Oliveira (+110) in their February UFC Fight Night main event, and his top-rated play for the Freedom 250 card came through when Diego Lopes (-140) knocked out Steve Garcia (+120) in the second round. Anyone who has followed Nagel's UFC picks this year could already be up more than $1,500!
Now, with UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman approaching, Nagel has studied the matchup from every angle and released confident picks on the money line, total rounds completed and a method-of-victory proposition.
We can tell you he likes the fight to go Under on total rounds, and he's also locked in a strong money-line selection and method-of-victory prop that pays +850!! You ABSOLUTELY need to see Nagel's UFC Fight Night picks before making any of your own!
Who wins du Plessis vs. Usman, and which method of victory prop presents massive value? ... Join SportsLine here to see which bets you need to make for the fight, all from the accomplished veteran combat sports analyst who has consistently delivered winners!
Don't miss out: All new SportsLine memberships include Paramount+ Premium -- a $13.99/month value -- for no extra cost! Join now and get it all.
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