The No. 5 seed Dallas Mavericks host the No. 3 seed Minnesota Timberwolves in a primetime battle in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. Dallas outlasted Minnesota 116-107 in Game 3 to snag a 3-0 series lead. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. SportsLine consensus lists Dallas as the 1.5-point favorite, while the over/under for total points scored is 211.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Timberwolves vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the conference finals in the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Minnesota guard Anthony Edwards is the No. 1 option for this squad. Edwards has impressive contact balance and assertiveness on both ends of the court. The 22-year-old puts up team-highs in scoring (27.4), assists (6.4) and steals (1.6). In Game 3, Edwards recorded 26 points and nine dimes.

The model also knows Dallas guard Kyrie Irving has provided his team with an impact player in multiple areas. Irving is averaging 22.4 points and 5.3 assists in the 2024 NBA playoffs. In his last contest, he finished with 33 points and four assists.

The model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Timberwolves vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 94-61 roll on top-rated NBA picks!