The OKC Thunder will look to continue their scorching-hot start to the 2025 NBA Playoffs when they visit the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Oklahoma City leads the series 2-0 after winning by a combined 70 points over the first two contests, which is the second-largest point differential through the first two games of any postseason series in NBA history. Counting the postseason, the Thunder have defeated the Grizzlies in 11 straight matchups. Memphis, however, has performed well at home recently, winning its last two home games by a combined 49 points.
Tip-off is at 9:30 p.m. ET from the FedExForum in Memphis, Tenn., where the home team went 26-15 in the regular season, while the Thunder were 32-8 on the road. Oklahoma City is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Thunder vs. Grizzlies odds from SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points scored is 229.5. OKC is at -457 on the money line (risk $457 to win $100), while Memphis is priced at +353 (risk $100 to win $353). Before making any Thunder vs. Grizzlies picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!
The model has simulated Thunder vs. Grizzlies 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations.
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