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Heisman Trophy frontrunner Arch Manning leads Texas Longhorns into their 2026 season opener when they host the in-state Texas State Bobcats on Saturday. The No. 4-ranked Longhorns were the preseason No. 1 in 2025 but fell short of such lofty expectations, missing the College Football Playoff despite a 10-3 record. Texas State enters its first season in a refurbished Pac-12 Conference. The Bobcats went 3-5 in the Sun Belt last year. Visit our DraftKings promo code review and get $200 in bonus bets as a new user after $5+ in wagers here:
Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET from Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. The Longhorns are 29-point favorites in the latest Texas State vs. Texas odds, while the over/under is 59.5.
Before making any Texas State vs. Texas picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. It is on a 32-19 run on top-rated CFB money-line picks since the 2024 season, and it has been upgraded for the 2026 season to even better factor in the transfer portal!
The model has simulated Texas vs. Texas State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all of the value!
So who wins Texas State vs. Texas, and which side of the spread has all of the value? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Texas State vs. Texas spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that is on a 32-19 run on top-rated CFB picks!
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