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    Super Bowl 58 odds, line, prediction: Advanced computer model reveals 49ers vs. Chiefs picks against the spread, total

    SportsLine's projection model generated selections for the Super Bowl 58 matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs
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    Super Bowl LVIII will pit the San Francisco 49ers against the Kansas City Chiefs at 6:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 11. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will try for a second straight Super Bowl title, while the 49ers are looking for a sixth Super Bowl win in franchise history. The 49ers are two-point favorites, while the over/under is 47.5. The 49ers are -127 money-line favorites, while the Chiefs are +107 underdogs. The Chiefs have won and covered five straight games, while the Niners have failed to cover in three straight. Before making any 49ers vs. Chiefs picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

    The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the conference championship round of the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 184-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on a 38-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs

    The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

    The model knows the 49ers have an explosive offense. San Francisco generated 34 points and 413 total yards in the NFC Championship Game, a carryover from a potent regular season. The 49ers led the NFL in points per drive (2.70), yards per drive (37.8), red zone efficiency (67.2%), and yards per play (6.6) in 2023. San Francisco also ranked in the top four in total yards, total points, first downs, third down efficiency, passing yards, yards per pass attempt, rushing yards, and yards per carry.

    The model also knows Kansas City held Baltimore to only 10 points in the AFC Championship Game, creating three takeaways and holding the NFL's best rushing attack to only 81 yards on the ground. The Chiefs finished the regular season allowing only 17.3 points per game, and that dips to 13.7 in three playoff contests. Kansas City allowed fewer than 28 points per game this season, becoming the first team to accomplish that feat since 2011 and the first in NFL history to do it over a 20-game sample.

    Now, the model has set its sights on 49ers vs. Chiefs. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

    Who wins 49ers vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl 58? And which side of the spread has all the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the 49ers vs. Chiefs spread you should back, all from the model on a 38-21 roll on NFL picks!

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    SportsLine Staff

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