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Saints vs. Buccaneers line, picks: Advanced computer NFL model releases selections for Monday night showdown

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday night's matchup between the New Orleans Saints and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

By@SportsLinePublished: Dec 06, 2022 12:26AM UTC . 2 min read

Rivals will meet when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the New Orleans Saints at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday Night Football. Tampa Bay is favored by three points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 41. Before making any Saints vs. Buccaneers picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model..

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-110 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

The model knows the Saints are elite in the red zone on defense, allowing opponents to score a touchdown on only 47.1% of possessions. New Orleans is also in the top 12 in total defense and first downs allowed. The Saints are stout on third down (38.8% allowed), and New Orleans is also stingy against the pass.

The model also knows the Buccaneers are giving up only 18.5 points per game and 1.65 points per drive. Tampa Bay is sound overall on defense, with top-10 marks in total yards allowed and passing yards allowed. The Buccaneers are also in the top five in first downs allowed and yards per pass attempt allowed.

Now, it has set its sights on Saints vs. Buccaneers. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Saints vs. Buccaneers on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Saints vs. Buccaneers spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a 155-110 roll on NFL picks!

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