Royals vs. Rays odds, line, prediction: 2026 MLB picks for Thursday, June 25, from proven model

The Tampa Bay Rays look to earn a split in their four-game series with the Kansas City Royals when they meet in the final game of the set on Thursday afternoon. Tampa Bay earned a 5-3 win on Wednesday night. The Royals (34-47), who are fifth in the American League Central, are 15-25 on the road this season. The Rays (44-33), who are second in the AL East, are 27-12 on their home field in 2026.

First pitch from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla., is set for 12:10 p.m. ET. The Rays lead the all-time series 106-96, including wins in four of the past six meetings. Tampa Bay is a -140 favorite on the money line (risk $140 to win $100) in the latest Royals vs. Rays odds, with Kansas City priced at +118 (risk $100 to win $118). The over/under is 8.

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The model has simulated Royals vs. Rays 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and is also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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