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    Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model reveals selections for NLCS Game 6 matchup

    SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday's Game 6 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks
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    The Philadelphia Phillies look to advance to the World Series for the second straight year when they host the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 6 of the 2023 National League Championship Series on Monday. Philadelphia posted a 6-1 victory at Arizona on Saturday to take a 3-2 lead in the series. Aaron Nola (3-0, 0.96 ERA) will start for the Phillies, while Merrill Kelly (1-1, 3.00) takes the mound for the Diamondbacks.

    First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 5:07 p.m. ET. Philadelphia is a -183 favorite on the money line (risk $183 to win $100) in the latest Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds, while the over/under for total runs scored is 8 (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page). 

    Before making any Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

    The model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anyone following has seen big returns!

    The model knows Philadelphia is 28-11 all-time at Citizens Bank Park in the playoffs, the best mark at one venue in major-league postseason history, and is 6-0 this year. Kyle Schwarber has homered in four of the first five games against Arizona and has a total of five blasts in the series, which matches the record for most in an LCS. Bryce Harper has gone deep twice in this series and five times in the 2023 postseason, tying him with Schwarber and Jayson Werth for the most playoff homers in franchise history at 11.

    The model also is aware that Arizona was outscored 15-3 at Philadelphia in losing the first two games of the NLCS but battled back to even the series with a pair of late comeback victories before dropping Game 5. Ketel Marte has been red-hot as he enters Monday with a 14-game playoff hitting streak and a .372 batting average this postseason. Alek Thomas has homered in back-to-back contests and has four blasts in the 2023 playoffs, the most in a single postseason in franchise history.

    Now, it has set its sights on Phillies vs. Diamondbacks in Game 6 of the NLCS. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

    Who wins Phillies vs. Diamondbacks in Game 6 of the 2023 NLCS? And which team has all the value on the money line? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup you should be all over Monday, all from the model that's 93-74 on top-rated MLB picks this season!

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    SportsLine Staff

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