The No. 3 seed Milwaukee Bucks are hosting the No. 6 seed Indiana Pacers in a first-round Eastern Conference matchup on Sunday at 7 p.m. ET. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Pacers as 1-point favorites, while the over/under is 231.5 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Pacers vs. Bucks picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 88-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Milwaukee guard Damian Lillard is going to have to step up with Giannis Antetokounmpo sidelined with a calf injury. Lillard excels at scoring off the dribble and has limitless range from beyond the arc. He averaged 24.3 points, 4.4 rebounds, and seven assists per game. On April 5 against the Raptors, Lillard logged 36 points and six assists.

The model also knows Indiana guard Tyrese Haliburton thrives as the floor general. Haliburton threads the needle and puts his teammates in great positions to score. The 24-year-old can also get a bucket on his own when needed. He averaged 20.1 points and a league-leading 10.9 assists per contest. In the April 12 game versus the Cavaliers, Haliburton finished with 19 points and 12 assists.

The model has simulated Pacers vs. Bucks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Pacers vs. Bucks, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on an 88-58 roll on top-rated NBA picks!