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It's already been a rough year for many survivor pool participants as the Texans, Seahawks, Rams and Saints all fell in Week 3. To complicate matters even more this week, the schedule features a number of challenging matchups, including Packers vs. Buccaneers (+3.5), Cardinals vs. Giants (+1), Cowboys vs. Texans (-2.5), Jaguars vs. Bengals (-2.5), Rams vs. Eagles (+1.5), Patriots vs. Bills (-7), Broncos vs. 49ers (-2.5), Chiefs vs. Raiders (+4.5) and Falcons vs. Saints (-2.5) on Monday Night Football. Claim the latest Polymarket promo code SPORTSLINE to get a $50 trading bonus after a $10 deposit:
Meanwhile no game has a larger NFL spread to consider for Week 4 NFL knockout picks than Titans vs. Ravens (-11.5), although Tennessee played well in a 12-7 loss to the New York Giants. Baltimore, however, took advantage of good fortune and walked off the Cowboys 34-31 in Brazil on a Tyler Loop 56-yard field goal as time expired. Dallas had kicked off, but the ball sailed into the end zone, giving Baltimore seven seconds to move into field goal range. Still, there are a few other games that NFL survivor players are considering such as Dolphins vs. Vikings (-10) and Chargers vs. Seahawks (-7).
Before making any Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks or NFL knockout pool picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season on a 54-43 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following could have seen HUGE returns!
The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. The model hit on the Lions beating the Jets in Week 3.
In Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Green Bay Packers (-3.5) as they take on the injury-depleted Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who will be without starting quarterback Baker Mayfield (thumb). Despite the Buccaneers down their field general, the Packers have had trouble on the offensive line and have not generated much offense. They win by a slim margin in the simulations, making Green Bay a risky pick.
Instead, the model is CONFIDENTLY backing a team that wins outright well over 80% of simulations! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!
Which surprising team is the optimal Week 4 survivor pool play? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the SportsLine Projection Model's shocking Week 4 NFL survivor pick, all from the model that consistently crushes the NFL and is up well over $7,000 since its inception!
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Written by Daniel Kohn
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