On Sunday of the NFL divisional round, Rams vs. Bears has both teams coming off Saturday games, so there's no rest advantage. However, Patriots vs. Texans sees Houston coming off a short week after winning on Monday. While this would seemingly favor the Pats with your NFL picks, New England is just 1-6 ATS over its last seven when it has a rest advantage. New England is a 3.5-point favorite, per the latest divisional round NFL odds, as Nico Collins (concussion) is out for the Texans has shifted this line from New England -3.
With the Bears vs. Rams series, the home team has won each of the last five matchups between the two. L.A. is favored by 4 points on the road, while the over/under of 48.5 is the highest of the divisional round NFL schedule, despite single-digit temps and double-digit winds expected in Chicago.
Before locking in any NFL bets, make sure you see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the Divisional Round of the 2026 NFL playoffs on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following could have seen HUGE returns!
Now, the model has evaluated the latest NFL odds, simulated every snap for the divisional round of the 2026 NFL playoffs, and the results are in.
We can tell you one of the model's strongest divisional round NFL picks is that the Bears (+4.5, 48.5) cover at home versus the Rams on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. The model has Chicago prevailing versus the spread well over 50% of the time, and it also says the Over hits in more than 50% of simulations.
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other NFL game this week! You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see its NFL picks for every game before you make any NFL bets of your own!
So which NFL teams should you back in the divisional round, and which money line pick should you lock in RIGHT NOW? ... Join SportsLine now to see who wins and covers every single NFL game this week, all from the model on 53-37 roll on top-rated NFL picks!
GET VEGAS EXPERT PICKS FOR NFL, MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING TOOLS, AND MORE!
Written by Ross Kelly
View expert profile
