Mets vs. Phillies odds, line, prediction: Proven MLB model reveals Sunday Night Baseball picks for June 21

A pair of NL East rivals will square off on 'Sunday Night Baseball' as the New York Mets visit the Philadelphia Phillies. New York (34-42) took the first game of the series on Thursday before a Friday off day. Philadelphia (41-35) responded by taking the second game on Saturday by a 15-3 score. Phillies ace Zack Wheeler (6-1, 2.01 ERA) will take the mound, and he'll be countered by the Mets' David Peterson (3-5, 5.91 ERA).

First pitch is at 7:20 p.m. ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The latest Phillies vs. Mets odds list Philly as the -186 favorite (risk $186 to win $100), with the Mets priced at +156 (risk $100 to win $156). The over/under for total runs is 8.

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The model has simulated Phillies vs. Mets 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and is also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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