Game 4 between the Miami Heat and the New York Knicks is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday at Kaseya Center. The Heat lead the series by a 2-1 margin. Miami is favored by 4.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 209 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Knicks vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Knicks can rely on a proven offense. New York scored 117.0 points per 100 possessions during the regular season, a top-five mark in the NBA. The Knicks also consistently dominate on the offensive glass, with the No. 2 offensive rebound rate (31.8%) during the regular season and an off-the-charts 36.7% offensive rebound rate in the playoffs. New York is averaging 16.5 second-chance points per game during the postseason.

The model also knows the Heat are operating at a high level on defense in the series. Miami is allowing only 1.05 points per possession in the first three games, with New York shooting only 31% from 3-point range. The Heat also posted top-tier marks in defensive categories during the regular season, including 15.8 turnovers created per game and only 21.1 free throw attempts allowed per contest.

Now, it has set its sights on Knicks vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Knicks vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Knicks vs. Heat spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!