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Fresno State vs. San Jose State line, picks: Advanced computer college football model releases selections for Thanksgiving matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's matchup between the Fresno State Bulldogs and the San Jose State Spartans
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The Fresno State Bulldogs visit the San Jose State Spartans in a Mountain West showdown at 3:30 p.m. ET on Thursday. Fresno State is favored by seven points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 53 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page). 

Before making any Fresno State vs. San Jose State picks, you NEED to check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on a 39-25 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Fresno State is dynamic on the offensive side of the ball. The Bulldogs lead the Mountain West with more than 460 total yards per game, and Fresno State also ranks No. 2 in scoring offense at 33.0 points per game. Senior quarterback Jake Haener keys a potent passing attack, with the Bulldogs ranking second in the conference in passing yards, completion rate, yards per pass attempt and passing touchdowns. Fresno State is converting 42 percent of third down opportunities, and the Bulldogs can also take solace in a top-five defense in the Mountain West this season. 

The model also knows San Jose State has offensive strengths in protecting the passer and running efficiently. The Spartans have allowed only 18 sacks, with the running game ranking in the top five of the Mountain West in yards per carry. On defense, San Jose State is giving up only 360.8 yards per game, with only 134.9 rushing yards allowed per game. The Spartans are yielding only 3.5 yards per carry in 2021, and San Jose State ranks in the top five of the conference in yards allowed per pass attempt (6.7) and sacks (27).

Now, it has set its sights on Fresno State vs. San Jose State. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

Who wins Fresno State vs. San Jose State? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Fresno State vs. San Jose State spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on college football picks!

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SportsLine Staff