College football Week 4: Two picks based on betting systems hitting at more than 60%
SportsLine's Jeff Hochman has identified two selections for Week 4, including one on the Iowa-Michigam matchup
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If you enjoy high-scoring offenses, 50-point shootouts and frantic two-minute drills, Saturday afternoon in Ann Arbor, Mich., may not be for you. But if you appreciate line-of-scrimmage battles, suffocating defenses, strong special teams and the art of the punt, No. 17 Iowa's trip to No. 18 Michigan is must-see TV.
Neither side tries to disguise its approach. Michigan leans on opponents until the fourth quarter, while Iowa thrives on converting every game into a low-possession battle in which every first down is hard-fought.
When points are at a premium, the spread takes on new meaning. In a game that is a test of wills and a battle of field goals, even a small cushion for the underdog can prove decisive.
That dynamic makes Iowa-Michigan the centerpiece of this Week 4 betting preview. This trench battle fits into one of the most reliable situational betting systems, one that often provides the best edges on the Saturday college football slate, hitting at a 60.3% rate since 2018.
It is one of two systems I'm featuring this week. Both are ones I rely on and have consistently performed at or better than 60% over a large sample size. (No betting approach is perfect, so please bet responsibly.)
Each system has produced a selection, which is rated on a confidence scale from 0 to 5, where 5 means the highest level of confidence. I will also share my model's projection, which is a completely separate predictive metric. When my model and the system agree, that selection is more likely to bring home cash. A confidence level of 0 means I like the other side.
(Below, Hochman, who has hit 59% of his against-the-spread college football selections since the start of the 2021 season, shares his systems, model predictions and two plays for Week 4, including one on a double-digit road underdog.)
What are some of the best bets for Week 4 of the college football season based on proven expert Jeff Hochman's reliable systems and computer model? ... Join SportsLine to see Hochman's top handicapping selections for Week 4!
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