Braves vs. Nationals odds, line, prediction: 2026 MLB picks for Thursday, April 23, from proven model

The Atlanta Braves look to win the four-game series against the Washington Nationals when they meet in a key National League East matchup on Thursday afternoon. Atlanta is coming off an 8-6 win over Washington on Wednesday. The Braves (17-8), who have won seven of their last eight games, are 9-4 on the road this season. The Nationals (11-14), who have lost four of their last six, are 3-9 on their home field in 2026.

First pitch from Nationals Park in Washington is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. The Braves lead the all-time series 435-388, and have won eight of the last nine meetings. Atlanta is a -146 favorite on the money line (risk $146 to win $100) in the latest Braves vs. Nationals odds, while the over/under, is 9. 

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The model has simulated Braves vs. Nationals 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under on the total, and is also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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