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Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, line: Advanced computer college football model releases spread pick for Friday's MWC showdown

SportsLine's projection model has generated selections for the matchup between the Broncos and Aztecs
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Two of the preseason favorites in the Mountain West Conference collide when the Boise State Broncos host the San Diego State Aztecs on Friday at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. The Broncos (2-2, 1-0 in MWC) suffered a shocking, 27-10 loss last week at UTEP, which had not beaten Boise State in six previous meetings. In the preseason the Broncos were picked to win the Mountain Division of the MWC. Meanwhile the Aztecs (2-2) are coming off a 17-14 victory over Toledo. They were predicted to finish second in the West Division behind only Fresno State. 

Kickoff is 8 p.m. ET. The Broncos are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Boise State vs. San Diego State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 38. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page.)

Before you make any San Diego State vs. Boise State picks or college football predictions, you NEED to see the predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows that Boise State has a tackling machine in JL Skinner. The senior safety from San Diego ranks second in the conference in tackles per game (9.0). Last season he led the Broncos in tackles (92), solo tackles (66) and fumble recoveries (three), and his two forced fumbles tied for the most on the team.

The model also has taken into account that San Diego State has a versatile playmaker in Jordan Byrd. A 5-foot-9, 170-pound senior, Byrd has three rushing touchdowns and one punt return touchdown this season. His 17.8 yards per punt return average leads the conference and ranks seventh in the country.

Now, the model has set its sights on Boise State vs. San Diego State. We can tell you it is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

Who wins San Diego State vs. Boise State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Boise State vs. San Diego State spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on college football picks!

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SportsLine Staff

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