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The NASCAR Chase continues on Sunday from Martinsville Speedway with the Xfinity 500 2026. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET for the ninth of 10 playoff races. Kyle Larson collected his third playoff win a week ago at Talladega, while Chase Briscoe has a pair of playoff NASCAR Chase victories. Tyler Reddick, Christopher Bell and Joey Logano each have one triumph, while Chase Elliott was victorious at the spring NASCAR Martinsville event. Denny Hamlin hasn't found the winner's circle since June, but his six wins at this track are twice as many as any other active driver entering the 2026 Xfinity 500. Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55:
Hamlin is the +450 favorite in the 2026 NASCAR Martinsville odds, with Ryan Blaney (+460) narrowly behind him. Logano (+700) and Larson (+750) round out the top four as a total of eight drivers are priced at +1200 or shorter. Ross Chastain, who is not in the NASCAR Chase but has back-to-back top-10 finishes, is a +4500 NASCAR longshot to notch his seventh Cup Series victory.
Before making any 2026 Xfinity 500 picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.
McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 34 winners since 2021 and 16 since 2025, including three NASCAR Chase winners with Kyle Larson at Illinois, Joey Logano at Bristol and then Larson again at Kansas! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
For NASCAR at Martinsville, the model is fading Kyle Larson (+750), saying despite just two drivers having shorter odds, Larson doesn't even crack the top 5. On the other hand, it is high on Tyler Reddick at +2500. His six wins this season are most on the Cup Series, and only three drivers led for more laps than Reddick at this Martinsville race last year.
The model has also identified a MASSIVE longshot of at least +4000 who makes a run for the title!
So who wins the 2026 Xfinity 500, and which MASSIVE longshot should you back? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that's nailed 34 winners since 2021 including three playoff winners with Kyle Larson at Illinois, Joey Logano at Bristol and Larson again at Kansas!
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