2026 Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds, picks: NASCAR projected leaderboard from proven model

The Cup Series starts off the NASCAR In-Season Challenge with a trip to Sonoma Raceway on Sunday. The green flag for the Toyota/Save Mart 350 drops at 3:30 p.m. ET, with Denny Hamlin seeing his three-race win streak end last week. Part-timer Corey Heim prevailed on the San Diego street course, but you won't find Heim on the Toyota/Save Mart 350 2026 odds board as he's not in the starting grid. The favorite to target with 2026 NASCAR Sonoma bets is Shane van Gisbergen (-150) who won this race a year ago.

Just two other drivers are shorter than +1200 to target with Toyota/Save Mart 350 bets in Connor Zilisch (+750) and Tyler Reddick (+750). Hamlin, who has four victories over his last six starts, is the favorite to win the In-Season Challenge but is a NASCAR Sonoma longshot at +10000.

Before making any 2026 Toyota/Save Mart 350 picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.

McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account. 

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 31 winners since 2021 and nailed Denny Hamlin's back-to-back wins earlier this month at Michigan and Pocono! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.

For NASCAR at Sonoma, the model is fading Ryan Blaney (+1200), saying despite just three drivers having shorter odds, he barely even cracks the top 10. Another surprise: AJ Allmendinger (+3300) is projected to make a strong run towards the title. Allmendinger has a pair of top-6 finishes over his last three Sonoma starts and has top 20s in four straight at the track.

The model has also identified three other longshots of at least +4000 who make runs for the top of the leaderboard, including an enormous longshot at over +7500.

So who wins the 2026 Toyota/Save Mart 350, and which longshots should you back? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that's nailed 13 winners since 2025 including Denny Hamlin at Michigan and Pocono earlier this month!