2026 Pennzoil 400 odds, picks: NASCAR projected leaderboard from proven model
Mike McClure's NASCAR model has simulated the 2026 Pennzoil 400 10,000 times
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The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series continues on Sunday with the 2026 Pennzoil 400 from Las Vegas Motor Speedway at 4 p.m. ET. After Tyler Reddick won the first three races, Ryan Blaney ended his stranglehold by prevailing last week in Phoenix. NASCAR at Las Vegas has seen Kyle Larson and Joey Logano dominate at this track, as they've combined to win seven of the last 14 starts here. But Josh Berry enters the Pennzoil 400 2026 as the defending champion, claiming his only Cup Series checkered flag at last year's race.
While Larson is the favorite at +500 in the latest 2026 NASCAR Vegas odds, Logano is a longer shot at +1100. In between those two are the likes of Christopher Bell (+600), Reddick (+750), Denny Hamlin (+750) and Blaney (+850). Despite being the reigning race winner, Berry is a massive longshot at +5000 to target in NASCAR bets. Bell will start on the pole for the 15th time in his Cup Series career. Joe Gibbs Racing is the +165 favorite to be the winning team for Sunday's race, followed by Hendrick Motorsports (+200).
Before making any 2026 Pennzoil 400 picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.
McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and hit 11 winners in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
For the NASCAR at Las Vegas, the model is fading Tyler Reddick (+750), saying he finishes outside the top 5 after winning the first three races of the season. Another surprise: Chase Elliott (+1800) is projected to make a strong run towards the title.
The model has also identified a huge longshot of over +4000 who makes a run for the top of the leaderboard, potentially netting any backer a huge payday!
So who wins the 2026 Pennzoil 400, and which massive longshot could stun NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that nailed 11 winners last year, and find out!
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