2026 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, picks: NASCAR at Kansas projected leaderboard from proven model
Mike McClure's NASCAR model has simulated the Hollywood Casino 400 from Kansas Speedway 10,000 times


The NASCAR Chase continues on Sunday from Kansas Speedway with the Hollywood Casino 400 2026. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET for the fourth playoff race, with Christopher Bell, Kyle Larson and Joey Logano winning the first three. However, Tyler Reddick won the spring NASCAR Kansas event, while Denny Hamlin's four victories at the track are most among active drivers entering the 2026 Hollywood Casino 400.
Larson is the +360 favorite in the 2026 NASCAR Kansas odds, with Hamlin (+430) behind him. Bell and Reddick are both priced at +650, with the latter seeking his first win since that Kansas race in April. Bubba Wallace, who has back-to-back top 5s at this track, is a +1600 longshot to target in NASCAR bets.
Before making any 2026 Hollywood Casino 400 picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.
McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 33 winners since 2021 and 15 since 2025, including each of the last two weeks with Kyle Larson at Illinois and Joey Logano at Bristol! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
For NASCAR at Kansas, the model is fading Chase Briscoe at +950, saying despite just four drivers having shorter odds, he doesn't even crack the top 10. On the other hand, it is high on Chase Elliott at +1600. He is the reigning champion, having won this race in 2025, which was his second NASCAR Kansas victory. Elliott is the only driver with top 20s in each of the last eight races at this track, but he's done better than just top 20 as each of those starts saw him place in the top 15.
The model has also identified two other longshot values of at least +2000 who make runs for the title!
So who wins the 2026 Hollywood Casino 400, and which longshots should you back? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that's nailed 33 winners since 2021 including back-to-back wins over the last two weeks with Kyle Larson at Illinois and Joey Logano at Bristol!
GET VEGAS EXPERT PICKS FOR NFL, MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING TOOLS, AND MORE!