2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds, picks: NASCAR projected leaderboard from proven model

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Michigan International Speedway on Sunday for the 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET with Denny Hamlin both the defending NASCAR Michigan winner and also coming off a victory last week. However, Tyler Reddick sits atop the Cup Series standings and collected a NASCAR at Michigan victory in 2024. Other recent Michigan winners entering the FireKeepers Casino 400 2026 include Ryan Blaney and Chris Buescher.

Hamlin (+380) and Reddick (+600) top the 2026 NASCAR Michigan odds board, with Christopher Bell also attracting +600 odds. A three-time winner at this track, Kyle Larson is at +800 to utilize in FireKeepers Casino 400 bets, while Blaney checks in at +1100.

Before making any 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.

McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account. 

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and hit 11 winners in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.

For NASCAR at Michigan, the model is fading Denny Hamlin (+380), saying he barely cracks the top 5 despite being the favorite. Another surprise: Ryan Blaney (+1100) is projected to make a strong run towards the title. Blaney won at Michigan in 2021 and has eight career top-10 finishes at the track.

The model has also identified a longshot of around +3500 who makes a run for the top of the leaderboard.

So who wins the 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400, and which longshot should you back? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that nailed 11 winners last year, and find out!