2026 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds, picks: NASCAR at Bristol projected leaderboard from proven model
Mike McClure's NASCAR model has simulated the Bass Pro Shops Night Race from Bristol Motor Speedway 10,000 times
loading...
loading...
The NASCAR Chase continues on Sunday from Bristol Motor Speedway with the Bass Pro Shops Night Race 2026. The green flag drops at 7:30 p.m. ET for the third playoffs race, with Christopher Bell and Kyle Larson winning the first two. However, Ty Gibbs won the spring NASCAR Bristol event, while Denny Hamlin remains atop the Cup Series standings entering the 2026 Bass Pro Shops Night Race.
Larson is the +400 favorite in the 2026 NASCAR Bristol odds, with a group of four just behind him. Ryan Blaney (+500), Hamlin (+600), Gibbs (+600) and Bell (+650) round out the top five and are the only drivers priced shorter than +1000. Brad Keselowski, who is a three-time winner at this track, is a +3500 NASCAR longshot to include in auto racing bets.
Before making any 2026 Bass Pro Shops Night Race picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.
McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 32 winners since 2021 and 14 since 2025, including Denny Hamlin's back-to-back wins at Michigan and Pocono and Kyle Larson's Illinois victory last week! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
For NASCAR at Bristol, the model is fading Denny Hamlin at +600, saying he barely cracks the top 10 despite just two drivers having shorter odds. On the other hand, it is high on Tyler Reddick at +2500. He has third-place finishes in two of the last three weeks and has improved his placement at Bristol over his last four starts at the track. He has four straight top 20s at Bristol, including a fourth place in April 2026.
The model has also identified three other longshot values of at least +2500, including a MASSIVE longshot priced at around +5000 who make runs for the title!
So who wins the 2026 Bass Pro Shops Night Race, and which huge longshots should you back? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that's nailed 32 winners since 2021 including back-to-back wins by Denny Hamlin, plus Kyle Larson's victory last week!
GET VEGAS EXPERT PICKS FOR NFL, MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING TOOLS, AND MORE!
