The 2025 NASCAR Playoffs are coming to their conclusion as the penultimate race will be held on Sunday with the Xfinity 500. Held at Martinsville Speedway, this is the 35th overall race of the Cup Series and the final of the Round of 8. Last week saw Chase Briscoe notch his second playoff victory, as he joins fellow two-time winner, Denny Hamlin, as the only drivers with multiple checkered flags in this year's playoffs entering 2025 NASCAR at Martinsville. Other playoff victors include Christopher Bell, Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott and Shane van Gisbergen.
Hamlin also prevailed at the spring NASCAR Martinsville race, but it's Blaney, who has won this race each of the last two years, who is the +400 favorite. The latest Xfinity 500 odds have Hamlin and Kyle Larson at +500, while Bell (+650) and Elliott (+650) round out the top five. Joey Logano has notched top 10 finishes in each of his last dozen starts at this track, and he's at -275 in the latest NASCAR at Martinsville props to secure another top 10 on Sunday.
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The green flag will drop at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, and the race is scheduled for 500 laps around the 0.526-miles four-turn short track. Before making any NASCAR at Martinsville predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Xfinity 500 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Our proven projection model has simulated Sunday's 2025 Xfinity 500 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.
McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then it went on to predict Kyle Larson in Miami (+350), Christopher Bell's NASCAR All-Star Race win (+600), Denny Hamlin's wins in Michigan (+650) and Las Vegas (+650), Shane van Gisbergen's win in Mexico City (+330), Elliott's win in Atlanta (+1500), and van Gisbergen again in Chicago (+150), Sonoma (+125), Watkins Glen (+135) and Charlotte (-105).
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and has hit 11 winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Martinsville 2025 and released its projections.
For Sunday's 2025 Xfinity 500, we can tell you the model is high on Josh Berry, even though he's a longshot at +3000 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Martinsville odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It's also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for this weekend: Joey Logano finishes top 5 for a +115 payout. He's a potentially a strong value pick for your Martinsville NASCAR prop bets.
The model is also targeting ONE OTHER driver with odds of 30-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs this driver could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who it is before locking in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2025 Xfinity 500, and which EPIC longshot is a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Martinsville leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 29 winners!
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