Shane van Gisbergen cemented his status as the best road racer in the NASCAR Cup Series with a win last week in Chicago and now he'll get another chance at a road course on Sunday in the 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway. The 36-year-old from New Zealand is the +140 favorite in the NASCAR at Sonoma odds and will be seeking his third road win of the season and fourth of his career this weekend. Van Gisbergen will start on the pole for Sunday's race after touring the circuit in 74.594 seconds.
The green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET, and the race is scheduled for 110 laps around the 12-turn, 1.99-mile circuit used for NASCAR. Before making any NASCAR at Sonoma predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Our proven projection model has simulated Sunday's 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.
McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then it went on to predict Kyle Larson in Miami (+350), Christopher Bell's NASCAR All-Star Race win (+600), Denny Hamlin's win in Michigan (+650), Shane van Gisbergen's win in Mexico City (+330), Elliott's win in Atlanta (+1500) and van Gisbergen again in Chicago (+150).
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 25 winners since 2021 and has hit six winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Sonoma 2025 and released its projections.
For Sunday's 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350, we can tell you the model is high on Christopher Bell, even though he's a longshot at +1800 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Sonoma odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It's also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Ty Gibbs finishes top five for a +200 payout. He's a potentially a strong value pick for your Sonoma NASCAR prop bets.
The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with odds of 18-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Sonoma leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 25 winners!
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