2025 Sony Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected leaderboard, surprising predictions
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2025 Sony Open 10,000 times and came up with a shocking leaderboard
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The first full-field PGA Tour event of the calendar year gets underway on Thursday, Jan. 9, when the 2025 Sony Open tees off from Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii. Hideki Matsuyama secured his 11th career PGA Tour title with a historic performance last week at The Sentry and he'll headline the 2025 Sony Open field. The 2025 Sony Open first-round tee times begin on Thursday at 12:10 p.m. ET.
Matsuyama set a PGA Tour record for the lowest 72-hole score in relation to par at -35 and is listed as the 9-1 favorite according to the latest 2025 Sony Open odds. He's followed by Corey Conners (14-1), Tom Kim (20-1) and Russell Henley (20-1) on the PGA odds board. The field also includes former Sony Open champions like Si Woo Kim (22-1), Matt Kuchar (80-1) and Patton Kizzire (170-1). Matsuyama is listed at +2200 (risk $100 to win $2,200) to be the leader after the first round.
Before locking in your 2025 Sony Open picks, you need to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since June 2020, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters, its third Masters in a row, and last year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open! Anyone who has followed it could have seen massive returns! Join SportsLine now to see the model's shocking 2025 Sony Open picks from 10,000 simulations!
Now with the 2025 Sony Open field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Sony Open: Matsuyama, an 11-time PGA Tour champion and the odds-on favorite, fails to finish on top of the leaderboard. Matsuyama tied the record for most birdies in a single PGA Tour event with 35 at The Sentry last week. However, he has never won back-to-back starts on the PGA Tour and has finished T-30 or worse in his past two starts at the Sony Open.
Another surprise: Taylor Pendrith, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Pendrith has all the tools needed to be in the mix this week. He's coming off a 13th-place showing at The Sentry and currently ranks seventh in putting average (1.629), 12th in greens in regulation percentage (86.11%) and 13th in scoring average (67.50), providing great value at these odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday!
Also, the model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 35-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title! Anyone who backs these golfers could hit it big. You absolutely need to see who they are before locking in any 2025 Sony Open picks!
So who wins the 2025 Sony Open, and which huge longshots make a serious run at the title? ... Join SportsLine right now to see who you can bank on to win, and see which longshots make a run at the title, all from the model that's nailed 13 majors, including three in 2024!
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