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2025 Quaker State 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard, predictions by top model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated Saturday's 2025 Quaker State 400 at EchoPark Speedway 10,000 times and revealed its NASCAR picks for Round 1 of the NASCAR In-Season Challenge

By@Mike5754Published: Jun 28, 2025 2:48PM UTC . 3 min read

The 2025 Quaker State 400 takes place on Saturday from Atlanta. Ryan Blaney is the +850 favorite in the 2025 Quaker State 400 odds after winning the pole and finishing fourth at Atlanta in February. Fords combined to lead 195 laps of the spring race at EchoPark Speedway, but Toyota came out on top, with Christopher Bell (+1700) capturing the win. Joey Logano will be on the pole.

The green flag drops at 7 p.m. ET and the race is scheduled for 260 laps around the 1.540-mile oval formerly known as Atlanta Motor Speedway. Before making any 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Quaker State 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Our proven projection model has simulated Sunday's 2025 Quaker State 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.

McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then at Daytona, it was also high on William Byron despite +2000 odds and it went on to predict Kyle Larson as a +350 winner in Miami, Christopher Bell as a +600 winner in the NASCAR All-Star Race, Denny Hamlin for a +650 payout in Michigan and Shane van Gisbergen's win in Mexico City for a +330 score. The model also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. 

It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 23 winners since 2021 and has hit five winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Atlanta 2025 and released its projections.

For Saturday's 2025 Quaker State 400, we can tell you the model is high on Ross Chastain, even though he's a longshot at +2100 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It's also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Chase Elliott finishes top five for a +250 payout. He's a potentially a strong value pick for your Atlanta NASCAR prop bets.

The model is also targeting THREE OTHER drivers with odds of 17-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2025 Quaker State 400, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 23 winners!

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