A pair of NFC South rivals kick off NFL Week 15 as the Atlanta Falcons visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on 'Thursday Night Football'. Both teams are reeling as Atlanta (4-9) has lost seven of eight, while Tampa (7-6) has dropped three of its last four. The Bucs did win the Week 1 meeting between the two, 23-20, but the all-time series is evenly split with each team having 32 wins. The Falcons were eliminated from postseason contention after losing last week. Mike Evans (collarbone) is active for Tampa, while Cade Otton is inactive. Meanwhile, Atlanta's Kyle Pitts (knee) and first-round rookie Jalon Walker (quad) are both active after being limited in practice during the week.
Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. The latest Buccaneers versus Falcons odds have Tampa as the 5.5-point favorites, an increase from opening at -4.5. The over/under for total points scored is 43.5. The Bucs are -275 money-line favorites (risk $275 to win $100), while the Falcons are +223 underdogs (risk $100 to win $223).
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Before making any Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks, you NEED to see which side SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein is on, considering his mastery of NFL picks.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Hartstein tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. He is coming off a down 2024 NFL season at SportsLine that puts him at 967-821 all-time on NFL sides and props (plus 13.8 units), including 593-518 ATS. Entering the 2025-26 season, he has been profitable in five of six seasons, going 659-564 ATS (plus $3,556 for $100 players).
In addition, Hartstein has gone 21-11-2 on his last 34 picks involving the Falcons, returning well over $800. Anyone who has followed him could be WAY UP!
Now, Hartstein has locked in another confident against-the-spread pick for Bucs vs. Falcons.
We can tell you he's leaning Under on the point total, but he knows a crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.
So who wins Falcons vs. Bucs on 'Thursday Night Football', and what x-factor makes one side of the spread hit HARD? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Falcons spread to back, all from the expert who is a blistering 21-11-2 (+848) on Atlanta picks!
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Written by Ross Kelly
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