The Oklahoma City Thunder will look to take charge of the series and put the Indiana Pacers on the brink of elimination when they battle in Game 5 of their best-of-seven NBA Finals matchup on Monday. The Pacers (50-32), who are 7-3 on the road during the 2025 playoffs, are in the NBA Finals for the first time since 1999-2000, when they lost in six games to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Thunder (68-14), who are 9-2 on their home floor this postseason, are in the Finals for the first time since 2011-2012, when they lost in five games to the Miami Heat.
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Tip-off from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Oklahoma City has won four of six meetings this season. The Thunder are 9.5-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 225. Indiana is 2-2 against the spread in this series, while the Under is 3-1.
Before making any Pacers vs. Thunder picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's Matt Severance.
Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three NBA seasons, he has returned $4,452 for $100 bettors on all NBA picks and he enters this matchup on a 166-91-1 roll (+3424) on NBA picks. Anybody following him could have seen HUGE returns!
Severance is going Over on the total, and he's also found a critical X-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back! Be sure to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.
Who wins Thunder vs. Pacers, and what critical X-factor makes one side a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Pacers vs. Thunder spread you need to jump on, all from the expert who has returned more than $3,400 for $100 players in his last 258 NBA picks!
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Written by Daniel Kohn
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