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    2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Sonoma leaderboard, predictions from proven model

    SportsLine simulated the Toyota/Save Mart 350 2024 at Sonoma Raceway 10,000 times and has revealed its NASCAR at Sonoma picks
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    Sonoma Raceway will host the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350, which gets underway on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. The Toyota/Save Mart 350 is scheduled for 110 laps around the 1.99-mile road course. Martin Truex Jr. has won three of the last five races at Sonoma and is the 5-1 favorite in the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds. He's followed by Christopher Bell and Kyle Larson at 15-2 in the 2024 NASCAR at Sonoma odds, while Ty Gibbs and William Byron are 17-2. Seven drivers are shorter than 10-1.

    Before scouring the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Sonoma predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

    Our proven projection model has simulated the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

    McClure's model was red-hot during the 2023 season, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. 

    It also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning again in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted a Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021 and hit nine last year alone! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

    Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Sonoma and released its projections.

    The model knows Sonoma Raceway has been a fixture on the NASCAR schedule since 1989 and the current setup utilized is 12 turns and just under two miles. Truex is sitting on four career wins at Sonoma and would tie Jeff Gordon for the all-time record with five with another victory on Sunday. Meanwhile, Byron set the track record for a stock car at Sonoma in 2019 with a 1:37.194 lap. Outside of Truex, Daniel Suarez, Kyle Larson and Kyle Busch are the only other active drivers with wins at Sonoma in the NASCAR Cup Series.

    For the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350, we can tell you the model is high on Daniel Suarez, even though he's a 25-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Sonoma odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10! There are far better values in the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 starting lineup.

    The model is also targeting THREE OTHER drivers with 2024 NASCAR at Sonoma odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any NASCAR picks.

    So who wins the 2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350, and which EPIC longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Sonoma leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 18 winners, including three already this year!

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    Mike McClureMoney Mike

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