Richmond Raceway first appeared on the NASCAR schedule in 1953 and on Sunday the iconic short track will host its 135th NASCAR Cup Series race, the 2024 Toyota Owners 400. The race is scheduled for 400 laps around the 0.75-mile, D-shaped oval and will be held under the lights, with the green flag dropping at 7 p.m. ET. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated the 2024 NASCAR season thus far, with all four of their drivers sitting top seven in the NASCAR standings. 

So it comes as no surprise that Denny Hamlin and Christopher Bell are 17-4 co-favorites in the 2024 Toyota Owners 400 odds. Two more of their teammates follow in the NASCAR at Richmond odds, with Martin Truex Jr. at 6-1 and Ty Gibbs at 8-1. Kyle Larson rounds out the top five in the 2024 NASCAR at Richmond odds at 10-1.

Before scouring the 2024 Toyota Owners 400 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Richmond predictions, be sure to see the latest 2024 Toyota Owners 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2024 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model was red-hot during the 2023 season, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. 

It also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning again in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted a Denny Hamlin win in Bristol at 5-1. It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 17 winners since 2021 and hit nine last year alone! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Richmond and released its projections.

The model knows that track knowledge is an advantage at Richmond Raceway, with wide, sweeping corners producing higher speeds than typical for a short track. Joe Gibbs Racing has won nine of the last 16 NASCAR Cup Series races held in Richmond and will try to continue a dominant start to the season. However, Kyle Larson is the defending champion of the spring race at Richmond and Chris Buescher won the most recent race at Richmond in the fall.

For the 2024 Toyota Owners 400, we can tell you the model is high on Tyler Reddick, even though he's a 14-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Richmond odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Martin Truex Jr., a three-time winner at Richmond and one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2024 Toyota Owners 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two OTHER drivers with 2024 NASCAR at Richmond odds longer than 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2024 Toyota Owners 400, and which EPIC longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 winners!