The 2024 NASCAR Cup Series season is underway after a thrilling Daytona 500 in which William Byron took the white flag just before a caution came out to end the race. Atlanta Motor Speedway is the next stop on the NASCAR schedule, with the green flag scheduled to drop on the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 at 2:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. Joey Logano is the 9-1 favorite in the 2024 Ambetter Health 400, odds while Byron is 12-1. Denny Hamlin is 19-2.

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model was red-hot in the 2023 season, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 15 winners since 2021 and nine last year alone! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship and released its projections.

Atlanta Motor Speedway opened in 1960 and it has hosted the NASCAR Cup Series ever since. The 1.54-mile quad oval was the site of two races annually from 1960-2010 and began hosting a pair of races per season again in 2021. Dale Earnhardt Sr.'s nine wins in Atlanta are the most of any Cup driver while Byron, Brad Keselowski and Kyle Busch have the most wins among active drivers (two each). Sunday's race is scheduled for 260 laps and Chevrolet has won four of the last five races in Atlanta.

For the 2024 Ambetter Health 400, we can tell you the model is high on Ross Chastain, even though he's a 20-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Joey Logano, the Vegas favorite, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with 2024 NASCAR at Atlanta odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2024 Ambetter Health 400, and which EPIC longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard, all from the model that called the winners of nine races in 2023!