2023 Crayon 301 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at New Hampshire leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series season continues on Monday with the 2023 Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at noon ET. Christopher Bell is fourth in the NASCAR standings and the 5-1 favorite in the 2023 Crayon 301 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. His Joe Gibbs teammates Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin are next in the 2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds at 13-2.

Our proven NASCAR projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 12 winners since 2021! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.   

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2023 Crayon 301 and released its projections.

New Hampshire Motor Speedway is a 1.058-mile oval that has been a fixture on the NASCAR schedule since 1993. The track hosted two events per season from 1997 to 2015, but went back to being an annual stop in 2016. Monday's race will be the 52nd in NASCAR Cup Series history contested on "The Magic Mile." Kevin Harvick is a four-time winner in New Hampshire and the 47-year-old could become the first driver in NASCAR history to reach five victories there.

For the 2023 Crayon 301, we can tell you the model is high on Tyler Reddick, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Denny Hamlin, one of the Vegas favorites at 13-2, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Crayon 301 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting five OTHER drivers with double-digit 2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 Crayon 301? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at New Hampshire leaderboard, all from the model that has already called the winners of six races in 2023!