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2021 Bahamas Bowl odds, picks: Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo selections from advanced computer model for Friday's bowl game

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for the Bahamas Bowl matchup between the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Toledo Rockets
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The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders take on the Toledo Rockets in the 2021 Bahamas Bowl at noon ET on Friday in Nassau. Toledo is favored by 10.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is down to 49.5 due to windy conditions in the forecast (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page). 

Before making any MTSU vs. Toledo picks, you NEED to check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-29 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Middle Tennessee is averaging 29.8 points per game, with top-five marks in Conference USA in completion percentage and touchdown passes. Four pass-catchers have at least 400 receiving yards this season, and the Blue Raiders are also frisky on defense. Middle Tennessee is allowing only 6.3 yards per pass attempt this season, with opponents completing 59.5 percent of passes with 16 interceptions and 30 sacks.

The model also knows Toledo is potent on offense and defense. The Rockets are scoring 34.2 points per game this season, with only two interceptions in 12 games. The Rockets have 28 rushing touchdowns with 5.3 yards per carry, and junior running back Bryant Koback has more than 1,600 yards from scrimmage in 12 games. On defense, Toledo is holding opponents to only 21.0 points per game, with top-two marks in total defense, passing defense, yards per pass attempt allowed, sacks and yards per carry allowed when compared to MAC competition.

Now, it has set its sights on Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

Who wins Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on college football picks!

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SportsLine Staff