Michael Rusk

The Prodigy

Don?t let his age fool you, 24-year-old Michael Rusk is no stranger to the industry. Finishing his first novel, ?Why Vegas Never Closes,? Michael built his name by exploiting flaws in public betting. With his economics and statistics background, Michael uses multiple algorithms pooling with recency bias to produce profitable picks. Sharp action, regression, fading the public and closing line value are all things he considers before finalizing his card. In the 2017 MLB season he was up 30.36 units ($3,036 for a $100 bettor), and he's crushing books on the hardwood with that same approach. For Michael Rusk media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

9-5-1 IN LAST 15 MLB O/U PICKS | +352

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Michael's
Past Picks

Detroit +6 DET +6

Detroit 27 @ San Francisco 30
9/16
DET 27 @ SF 30
9/16
WIN
Sun 9/16

This line SCREAMS overreaction. I get it, losing to a Jets rookie 48-17 should raise some flags but Matt Stafford and the Lions do not deserve to be this large of an underdog Week 2. One of my favorite ways to gauge a bet in the NFL is looking at the line flipped for home field. This line states that the Lions would essentially be EVEN at home against a 49ers team that finished last in the NFC West a season ago. Until Jimmy G and the 49ers earn a win, I am not ready to tail them against a proven offense. Pile on the Lions here and even consider sprinkling a unit on the money line at +225.

Pittsburgh -5 PIT -5

Kansas City 42 @ Pittsburgh 37
9/16
KC 42 @ PIT 37
9/16
LOSS
Sun 9/16

Hurry up and hop on the Steelers early this 2018 season before their price becomes too high. The market is relatively low on Pittsburgh right now as they choked a two-touchdown lead last weekend versus the Browns of all teams. Missing Le?Veon Bell is key to the Steelers offense, but that did not slow them down in their season opener. Big Ben will be thrilled to go under center against a team that finished 29th in passing yards allowed last season. I'm excited to fade Mahomes early in his NFL career in what will be the most hostile environment he has ever seen. His talent is off the charts, but will be overwhelmed at Heinz field Sunday afternoon.

New Orleans -9.5 NO -9.5

Cleveland 18 @ New Orleans 21
9/16
CLE 18 @ NO 21
9/16
LOSS
Sun 9/16

The Saints look to regroup against after losing to Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Buccaneers last weekend. Good news is they couldn't be facing more of an opposite QB. The dual-option Tyrod Taylor feeds right into the Saints defense as they proved game after game last season. The Saints visited the Bills in Buffalo last year and beat now Browns QB Tyrod Taylor 47-10. Yes. 47-10. Scrambling QBs don't match up well against Dennis Allen's defense shown as beating down Cam Newton and the Panthers twice last year handedly. The market is oddly high on this Browns team as they managed to tie the public favorite Steelers last week. Great time to buy into what should be a playoff ready Saints team.

Cincinnati +2 CIN +2

Cincinnati 34 @ Indianapolis 23
9/09
CIN 34 @ IND 23
9/09
WIN
Sun 9/9

The Bengals are one of my biggest 2018 NFL sleepers. Andy Dalton looks poised and ready to go as Joe Mixon returns for his sophomore season. Finishing 2017 on a 5-2 ATS streak, Cincinnati carries some early momentum. This is a no-brainer to fade Andrew Luck and the Colts, who will need to work out multiple kinks before they can be tailed this year. If bettors are able to buy one point to get this number to within a field goal, there is plenty of cushion, even though I believe the Bengals win outright.

Buffalo +7.5 BUF +7.5

Buffalo 3 @ Baltimore 47
9/09
BUF 3 @ BAL 47
9/09
LOSS
Sun 9/9

Recency bias plays a pivotal role in why Vegas has this number at 7.5. Public bettors see a young Nate Peterman on the road who is best remembered for his NFL record five-interception debut against the Chargers. While Buffalo's offensive line might be among the league's worst, this betting line is out of control for a Ravens team that year in and year out squeaks out wins by a field goal. In addition to Joe Flacco's underwhelming offense, the Bills' defense returns completely healthy and ready to capitalize on its Pro Bowl-level secondary last season. With the addition of Tremaine Edmunds at linebacker, the Bills will have a top-tier defense. Let's fade the 72 percent of public bettors that overlooked why Peterman undoubtedly deserved the starting job Week 1. The Bills will lose, but will go down with one score.

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