Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
Read More
Expert Picks
Quietly, LSU and Georgia are constructed the same way and in some cases, are able to win the same way as well. Both have really good defenses and mobile quarterbacks who are unafraid of pressure. Just off style alone, this game will be much closer than the point spread indicates. I believe this line is a bit inflated based off of the Tigers collapse last weekend against Texas A&M. This is still a game for the outright SEC Championship, and I expect LSU to bring their A-game and best effort.
I don't buy into the narrative that this game does not matter to the Bulldogs because they're already in the CFP and have bigger goals. The SEC title is a goal for them because they didn't win it last year (and haven't won it since 2017). Also, I think the health of LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels and the Tigers secondary could play a big role in this game. Georgia wins big.
The Bulldogs defense thrives against one-dimensional offenses and, while LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels has improved as a passer, he relies on the rushing attack to set the tone. Georgia won't let that happen. Daniels and his running back corps aren't dynamic enough to force the Georgia safeties to sell out to stop the run, which means it'll be nearly impossible for Daniels to stretch the field deep. Georgia can throttle up and throttle down its offense based on how games evolve, and it won't ask quarterback Stetson Bennett IV to do much in this one.
Is Georgia 16 points better than LSU? On a normal day, yes, but why would the Dawgs care about this? Don't give me the SEC title BS. They are in the playoff regardless. Frankly, why even play the starters more than a half? LSU has nothing to lose.