As the meager total suggests, this is likely to be an unremarkable game between struggling Mountain West clubs. Still, there's no way the Aztecs should be laying more than a touchdown. Their season high in points against FBS opponents is 20 and they have failed to clip 17 in their past three outings. They are so one-dimensional and predictable that even a struggling Nevada club should be able to hang within one score. The Wolf Pack have lost five straight and should be desperate for a respectable outing under first-year coach Ken Wilson.

Both teams average under 22 points on the season, but I only need one to get to 20 and the other to 17. SDSU has allowed 70 points in its two road games. Nevada somehow allowed 55 at home to FCS Incarnate Word earlier this season. Pretty much every model out there has at least 42 points being scored -- SL's has 45.