Boise State uncharacteristically struggled at home on the blue turf last season, but the Broncos were solid on the road. They were 5-1 ATS on the road last season and held opponents to less than 20 points per game. The Broncos also return a four-year starting QB in Hank Bachmeier, a very talented back in George Holani and a very solid and experienced defense. This is a tough matchup for Oregon State to start the season. My model says Boise State covers 70% of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number.

The Broncos return 17 starters from a squad that went 7-5 while defeating two ranked teams last season. Boise State outscored its opponents by 10.2 points per game. I see more improvements in year two under Andy Avalos. The Beavers should get better as the season plays out. Oregon State coach Jonathan Smith is 0-4 both straight-up and against-the-spread in openers. Boise State is 32-16 ATS as an underdog since 1993. I'm taking the road dog.

Boise State had a down year in Andy Avalos' first season, but I expect the Broncos to improve in 2022 with a veteran team led by a veteran QB in Hank Bachmeier. I also expect that they'll cover against an Oregon State team that has been too easy to exploit defensively during Jonathan Smith's tenure.