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Sat 12/11 | 8:00 PM UTC | East Rutherford
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Army Black Knights 7-3, 5-5 ATS
ARMY
ARMY
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Navy Midshipmen 3-8, 7-4 ATS
NAVY
NAVY
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Expert Picks

Army 13 @ Navy 17 | 12/11 | 8:00 PM UTC

Army -7

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I'm already on Over the absurd low total of 33.5 for Saturday's matchup from New Jersey (has since gone up) and now that Army has finally gotten below -7.5, we will take a shot on the spread even with the push possibility -- I doubt it gets any lower. The Black Knights have clearly been the superior team to the Middies all season. Army not only ranks No. 2 in rushing but No. 11 in stopping the rush. Navy has not been able to stop the rush and has uncharacteristically struggled running the ball itself at times. Unless Roger Staubach somehow found a time machine, I don't see Navy having much of a shot here, but it's a rivalry game and the Middies' bowl, so one can never be sure. I'd recommend buying this down to -6.5. Hey, back-to-back Army picks for me today (one on hoops)! That has to be a first.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1059 64-47-2 IN LAST 113 CFB PICKS
+80 3-2 IN LAST 5 ARMY ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 NAVY ATS PICKS

Season Splits

7-3, 5-5 ATS
3-8, 7-4 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
5-5
7-4
64%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
80%
4-1
3-2
60%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
20%
1-4
6-4
60%
When Spread was -9 to -5
SPREAD
When Spread was +5 to +9
50%
1-1
0-1
0%
Favored on Road or Neutral
LOCATION & STATUS
As Road Underdog
0%
0-1
2-2
50%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games
40%
2-3
4-0
100%
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
0%
0-0
3-1
75%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
50%
5-5
7-4
64%
vs NAVY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ARMY
0%
0-0
0-0
0%