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Fri 11/26 | 5:00 PM UTC | Austin
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Kansas St. Wildcats 6-4, 6-3 ATS
KSTATE +3
KSTATE +125
Over 54.5
Texas Longhorns 4-7, 4-7 ATS
TEXAS -3
TEXAS -145
Under 54.5

Expert Picks

Kansas St. 17 @ Texas 22 | 11/26 | 5:00 PM UTC

Texas -2.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Maybe I am a complete moron for backing a Texas team that appears to have quit, but I believe the Horns show some pride in the season finale at home. Kansas State already wrapped up a bowl game so not sure how much major motivation there, plus starting QB Skylar Thompson (perhaps buried the lead) is not starting due to injury. The Cats are vastly different without the dual-threat who has been playing since like 2007 it seems. Seriously, I think the 38-year-old Thompson once backed up Josh Freeman.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1223 45-29 IN LAST 74 CFB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 TEXAS ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 KSTATE ATS PICKS

Season Splits

6-4, 6-3 ATS
4-7, 4-7 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
67%
6-3-1
4-7
36%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
67%
2-1-1
3-2
60%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
2-2
4-3
57%
When Spread was +1 to +5
SPREAD
When Spread was -5 to -1
100%
1-0
1-1
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
0%
0-1
3-2
60%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games
100%
3-0
1-1
50%
vs Teams Allowing >32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
100%
2-0-1
1-5
17%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs TEXAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KSTATE
0%
0-0
0-0
0%