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Sat 10/23 | 11:00 PM UTC | Miami
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
W. Kentucky Hilltoppers 7-4, 8-3 ATS
WKY -16.5-110
WKY -800
Over 78-110
FIU Panthers 0-10, 2-8 ATS
FIU +16.5-110
FIU +550
Under 78-110

Expert Picks

W. Kentucky 34 @ FIU 19 | 10/23 | 11:00 PM UTC

UNDER 76.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I've decided I will be betting Under on any college football game with a total of 74 points or higher, and I feel confident winning much more than not. The SportsLine Projection Model has this finishing with 71 points scored. ESPN's SP+ has it with 59. Both teams stink defensively, but has that much changed from last year when WKU beat FIU 38-21? I don't think so. All we need is about four failed offensive TD possessions combined (assuming no defensive and special teams TDs) and they aren't scoring 77 points.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+557 10-4 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS

Season Splits

7-4, 8-3 ATS
0-10, 2-8 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
60%
3-2
1-4
20%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
67%
2-1
0-2
0%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
50%
1-1
1-3
25%
When Line was 75 to 79
SPREAD
When Line was 75 to 79
100%
1-0
0-0
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
100%
1-0
0-1
0%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
100%
2-0
1-2
33%
vs Teams Allowing >32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >32 PPG
100%
2-0
1-0
100%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
0%
0-0
1-4
20%
vs FIU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs WKY
0%
0-0
0-0
0%