Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
A pair of high-scoring teams has resulted in a sky-high total. However, WKU is coming off its strongest defensive showing -- not saying much -- by holding Old Dominion to 20 points thanks to five sacks. While FIU was recently involved in games with 96 and 79 points, the opponents were on a higher level than the Hilltoppers. The Golden Panthers are mid-pack in C-USA offensive ratings. Last year’s matchup wound up with a modest 59 points even with two defensive TDs.
I've decided I will be betting Under on any college football game with a total of 74 points or higher, and I feel confident winning much more than not. The SportsLine Projection Model has this finishing with 71 points scored. ESPN's SP+ has it with 59. Both teams stink defensively, but has that much changed from last year when WKU beat FIU 38-21? I don't think so. All we need is about four failed offensive TD possessions combined (assuming no defensive and special teams TDs) and they aren't scoring 77 points.