IDAHO POTATO BOWL -- One of the postseason’s largest spreads oddly involves a favorite with a pedestrian offense. BYU shows a tendency to flop in the giving-points scenario. Western Michigan will rely on a freshman QB, Kaleb Eleby, making just his fifth start, but the long practice window should bring him up to speed. A midseason change in defensive coordinators has boosted the Broncos’ D. Late-season injuries to DE Corbin Kaufusi and RB Matt Hadley cripple the Cougars, who have failed to cover in their last four bowls.

IDAHO POTATO BOWL -- Both of these teams struggled to win down the stretch. BYU lost five of its last eight games, while Western Michigan lost three of its last four. Despite their late season slide, the Broncos are still averaging nearly 450 yards per game. Meanwhile, BYU boasts the 18th-ranked defense in the nation, giving up just 325 yards per game. Despite the Cougars stingy defense, my simulations show Western Michigan scoring enough to keep this game within the number and covering the spread over 60 percent of the time. Grab the points.